By Hom Nath Gaire
The phrase 'Inclusive Growth' is quite popular in recent days not only
among academia but also with policy makers, development partners and media as
well. It seems that there is paradigm shift in development strategies among the
stakeholders. The concept of inclusive growth refers to both the pace and
distribution of economic growth. In order for growth to be sustainable and
effective in reducing poverty, it needs to be inclusive.
What is Inclusive Growth?
An IMF Commission
on Growth and Development (2008) notes that inclusiveness—a concept that
encompasses equity, equality of opportunity, and protection in market and
employment transitions—is an essential ingredient of a successful growth
strategy.
Traditionally,
poverty (or inequality) and economic growth analyses have been done separately.
However, recent work indicates that there may not be a trade-off between equity
and efficiency as suggested by Okun (1975) and that it would be a big mistake
to separate analyses of growth and income distribution. Inclusive growth has
commonly been explained as about raising the pace of growth and enlarging the
size of the economy by providing a level playing field for investment and
increasing productive employment opportunities.
The definition
of inclusive growth implies direct links between the macro and micro
determinants of the economy and economic growth. The microeconomic dimension
captures the importance of structural transformation for economic
diversification and competition, while the macro dimension refers to periodic changes
in economic aggregates such as the country’s gross
national product (GNP) or gross domestic product (GDP).
Sustainable
economic growth requires inclusive growth. Maintaining this is sometimes
difficult because economic growth may give rise to negative externalities, such
as a rise in corruption, which is a major problem in developing nations. However,
inclusiveness lays emphasis on equality of opportunity in terms of access to
markets, resources, and unbiased regulatory environment for businesses and
individuals. The inclusive growth approach takes a longer-term perspective, as
the focus is on productive employment as a means of increasing the incomes of
poor and excluded groups and raising their standards of living.
Determinants of Inclusive Growth
Different countries,
especially developing countries, may have very different institutional as well
as policy arrangements for promoting inclusive growth. Similarly, there may be
a number of distortions preventing the allocation of limited resources in such
a way that productivity in different sectors is equalized. The shift of
resources from one sector to another may have an important effect on the
overall level of output and growth.
In this
context, although growth theories have contributed to our understanding of how
growth is determined and how it might be influenced, it has in many ways missed
some of the crucial issues for developing countries. It may be possible to
model the role of management and organization, the improvement of
infrastructure, and sectoral transfer in developing economies to measure real
determinants of growth and to the design of policy.
They are directly
concerned with the long-run growth in the sense of the steady-states as well as
important for a medium term of some considerable duration. Government
macroeconomic policies--- both fiscal policy and monetary policy--- are
considered to be instrumental in promoting inclusive growth in the respective
economy.
Fiscal Policy and Inclusive Growth
Fiscal policy involves the use of government spending, taxation and borrowing to affect the level and growth of aggregate
demand, output and jobs. It is also a means by which a redistribution of income
and wealth can be achieved as an instrument of intervention to correct the market
failures. Thus fiscal policy is considered more effective in encouraging both
pace and size of economic economy.
Based on this belief,
Asian Development Bank (ADB) has recently urged the Asian governments to use
their fiscal policy more adeptly to combat the widening income gaps in the
region. “With such inequality rising almost everywhere in Asia, governments
need to urgently expand and improve their public investments in inclusive
growth,” President Takehiko Nakao told seminar titled, Leveraging Fiscal Policy
for Inclusive Growth on the occasion of bank's 47th AGM.
More than 80
percent of Asia’s population live in countries where inequality is worsening,
meaning that many are being left behind even as globalization, technological
progress, and market reform have led to strong economic growth. The bank
emphasized on a range of issues including taxation to boost social and other
spending, existing government programs to promote equality, and the best
balance spending to help the poorest without compromising fiscal
sustainability.
Monetary Policy and Inclusive growth
It is well
accepted that macroeconomic stability and low inflation rates inter alia have
positive effects on growth and to reduce inequality. In this connection, well-managed
monetary policy is critical in achieving stable and inclusive economic growth. Similarly,
monetary policy is mandated to achieve and maintain price stability in the
interest of inclusive and sustainable economic growth along with maintaining
financial stability.
Price
stability reduces uncertainty in the economy and provides a favorable
environment for inclusive growth and cumulative employment creation over the
longer term. Low inflation, on the other hand, helps to protect the purchasing
power and living standards of all class of people. Although low inflation may
not necessarily in itself reduce income inequality, it does ensure the
protection of income which is particularly important for poor people who
generally do not have the means to adjust their nominal incomes to take account
of rapid price increases.
PPP and Inclusive Growth
The Public
Private Partnership (PPP) is a governance tool to bring together resources as
well as strengths and share experiences of the public and private sector for
the purpose of provisioning of public asset or services for public benefit. In order
to achieve inclusive growth, developing countries should create more PPP
opportunities to address their infrastructure gap and steer private money and
skills into much-needed infrastructure projects.
As the
infrastructure deficit in the developing countries like Nepal is so enormous
that we can’t expect either private investors or the public sector to fill up
it alone. It need collaboration between private and public players to make
things work, and to bring critical services to the community. Good
infrastructure is critical to inclusive growth, allowing communities to access
essential social services, markets, and jobs, and making cities cleaner and
easier to navigate. PPPs can help developing countries address critical
infrastructure needs, from roads to hospitals to water supply systems.
The PPP
investment mode with the various structures is effective in helping centrally
planned countries transition to private sector-oriented market economies. PPPs
can be promoted through fully assessed and appropriate risk sharing and
performance-based arrangements between the parties. The aim is to deliver
“value-for-money” projects to provide a full set of benefits for investors, the
public, and the economy.
Knowledge Economy and Inclusive Growth
The
development of the knowledge economy and inclusive has been seen as closely
related. Global firms have built integrated international production chains, with
innovation creating new products with added value in “knowledge” areas such as
design and marketing and providing associated services.
The growth of the knowledge economy is seen
as part of the growth strategy to import jobs from low wage economies such as
China and India investing heavily in knowledge. Shifting from low-cost
manufacturing to economies based on knowledge, innovation, and high-end
services is imperative for developing countries to achieve and sustain board
based inclusive growth. Emerging economies can reach and go beyond
middle-income levels by becoming knowledge-based economies like Japan, the
Republic of Korea, and Singapore.
Similarly,
least developed countries like Nepal can upgrade themselves to developing one
through systematic investment in new information and communication,
manufacturing and other technologies to promote knowledge economy. For this,
they have to spent time and resources to move up the value chain by drawing on
best practices and latest technologies, for example, shifting to smart energy
grids, cloud computing, 3D manufacturing, and mobile rather than fixed-line
communications.
Rational
According to
the World Bank’s Commission on Growth and Development, a persistent, determined
focus on inclusive long-term growth by governments is a key ingredient of all
successful growth strategies. Policies that encourage inclusive growth tend to
emphasize removing constraints to growth, creating opportunity, and creating a
level playing field for investment.
To that end,
developing countries need to increase investment in infrastructures as well as research
and development to create knowledge based, innovative and competitive
industries. For this, public funding may be needed to help companies start up,
public spending on education and health services improve the well-being of the
poor and augment their productive capacity.
Targeted
subsidies and transfer payments protect the most vulnerable and deprived
segments of society while better public infrastructure can make it easier for
the entrepreneurs to create more jobs and additional value for the economy. Higher
education and training need to be significantly improved to generate the skills
and critical thinking processes vital to a modern competitive economy.
In addition,
governments need to put in place mechanisms and adopt policies that enable
innovation and creativity to flourish. This includes protecting intellectual
property rights, providing adequate financing options, and nurturing more
flexible labor markets.
Finally
Policies on
both monetary and revenue front such as non-inflationary monetary and
progressive taxation can promote inclusive growth. But among policy tools, fiscal
policy with productive government expenditure and progressive taxation has a
tangible effect on boosting equality and promoting inclusive growth.
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